Quantitative Research Methods¶
Research methodology, hypothesis development, feature engineering, and research best practices.
Research Process¶
1. Question Formulation¶
- Start with a clear, testable question
- Example: "Do momentum strategies work in small-cap stocks?"
2. Hypothesis Development¶
- Formulate null and alternative hypotheses
- Define success criteria
3. Data Collection¶
# Collect relevant data
data = yf.download("SPY", period="10y")
factors = get_factor_data() # Market factors
4. Feature Engineering¶
# Create features from raw data
data['Returns'] = data['Close'].pct_change()
data['Volatility'] = data['Returns'].rolling(20).std()
data['Momentum'] = data['Returns'].rolling(10).sum()
5. Model Development¶
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
# Develop predictive model
X = data[['Volatility', 'Momentum']]
y = data['Returns'].shift(-1) # Next period return
model = LinearRegression()
model.fit(X.dropna(), y.dropna())
6. Validation¶
- Out-of-sample testing
- Walk-forward analysis
- Statistical significance testing
Research Best Practices¶
- Documentation: Document all steps
- Reproducibility: Use version control
- Robustness: Test multiple scenarios
- Peer Review: Get feedback from others
Key Takeaways¶
- Follow systematic research process
- Formulate clear hypotheses
- Engineer meaningful features
- Validate thoroughly
- Document everything
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